Not So Fast

Over at OpenLeft, Chris looks at Rasmussen poll numbers showing a decrease in perception of Obama as liberal. From Rass:

During the Primary campaign season, Obama was viewed as politically liberal by an ever-increasing number of voters that grew to 67% by early June. However, since clinching the nomination, he has reversed that trend and is now seen as liberal by only 56%.

Twenty-two percent (22%) characterize the Democrat as Very Liberal, down from 36% early last month.

Says Chris:

So, now that Obama is perceived as moving to the center, while McCain is still perceived as conservative, Obama's poll numbers should improve, right? Wrong. According to the daily tracking poll from the same polling firm, Rasmussen, the campaign has not changed at all as a result of Obama being perceived as less liberal:

    * Obama has been at 49% every single day since June 22nd
    * Obama has been at 48%, 49% or 50% every single day since June 8th
    * Obama has led by between 4-6% every day since June 23rd   and in all but three days since June 11th. In the other three days, he twice led by 3%, and once led by 7%.
...
This is very strong proof, even scientific, that Obama's move to the center has not won him any votes, and that the perceived change in the ideological gap between Obama and McCain did not impact their relative vote share.

As much as I'd like to believe that Obama's recent triangulation hasn't been effective, I'm just not sure these numbers prove it. As we've looked at before, the strategy for Obama is a multi-state/multi-path tour to the nomination. Exactly which blocs of voters are we talking about? In which states?

I could just as easily argue (I won't) that since he's clinched the nomination, Obama's "tack to the center" has preserved his "bump" in the very same Rasmussen tracking poll, even when many expected it to be temporary.

Or I could just question the overall conventional wisdom about Obama "moving to the center" by pointing to his trip to Georgia today where he proposed revamping the terrible bankruptcy bill from 2005.

Point being, I guarantee that the Obama campaign doesn't gauge the success or failure of messaging by the rise and fall of top-line national tracking polls - this is a state-by-state, constituency-by-constituency race. And beyond that, I'm not sure the "left vs. Obama" storyline was one the campaign intentionally engineered to be national - the MyBo FISA group fed a lot of that narrative, for example.

As Poblano says:

(iii) Finally, as I argued last week, I don't think this is necessarily a strategy designed to maximize one's number of electoral votes, but rather one's chances of winning the majority of them. This is a risk-averse maneuver, designed to blockade McCain from certain tactical options that he might have wished to take later on.



Display:


"This is a risk-averse maneuver . . ." (none / 0)

Exactly.
And exactly what we were promised this race would not be (at the JJ dinner in Iowa).
John McCain says he would stay in Iraq for 100 years? That's crazy talk!
by kosnomore on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:17:07 PM EST

You're Funny (2.00 / 3)

Just to be clear, you're a conservative troll who has now taken to bashing Obama for being too cautious and centrist?  

Hysterical.


by HSTruman on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:30:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No, I'm a moderate to left democrat (none / 0)

who feels we were sold a bill of goods with false promises.  Big dif.


John McCain says he would stay in Iraq for 100 years? That's crazy talk!
by kosnomore on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:45:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I agree... (2.00 / 1)

...with Poblano's take.


Toot, thank you for raising such a terrific person...You done good and we will have you in our hearts.
by hootie4170 on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:21:11 PM EST

Re: Triangulation? (none / 0)

Let's remember the very definition of "triangulation" -- that "triangulation" comes at another politician in your own party's expense.  When Bill Clinton ran on v-chips and school uniforms, signed the welfare "reform" bill, and said that House Democrats were "extremists" for opposing the bill, that was the very definition of "triangulation."

Had the majority of the Senate Democratic caucus opposed the FISA "compromise" bill, and Barack Obama denounced those Democrats as "extremists" in order to get elected, that would be "triangulation."  But he didn't.  Instead, Barack Obama took the heat for supporting the "compromise" bill because he knew there weren't the votes to mount a successful leader, and he didn't want the public to see him as some weak, quixiotic liberal unable to get his own party's support on his initiatives.  What would it have said about Barack Obama's sense of direction, leadership qualities, and ability to pick up on the issues of the time if he were willing to go to the mat for FISA when 150,000 troops are in Iraq, 48 million Americans are without health insurance, and over 400,000 Americans have lost their jobs in the last six months?


by Brad G on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:23:40 PM EST

Re: Triangulation? (2.00 / 1)

Yeah! It would have been awful for Obama to fight to preserve the 4th amendment to our Constitution! Doesn't he know we're at war? (Permanently -- with terrorism).

You can't worry about unimportant things like the Constitution in the middle of this dire threat!


by Cugel on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:58:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

What I'm seeing is that the standard DLC strategy of moving to the center and trying to co-opt everyone to the left of the Republican candidate (ignoring the downside of what this does to your political base, and the downside of what it does to the national issues agenda) used to be universally deplored on the blogs, but when Barack Obama does it then it's part of some brilliant microconstituency-targeting strategy that we should not question.

To me, this is entirely standard stuff and should be opposed for all the standard reasons.  If progressives don't grumble when Democrats pull this, they will assuredly keep on pulling it, and our issues will never come to the forefront.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:29:31 PM EST

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 2)

With the exception of FISA, which I agree is a terrible move by Obama, precisely how has Obama moved to the right?  Seriously, I would love to know what everyone is so incensed about.  Because I don't see it.


by HSTruman on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:31:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Narrowing Roe (none / 0)

Endorsing the SCOTUS decision which tells  DC that they can't have a handgun ban.  that wasn't hi sprior position.

Disagreeing with the court when it acts in a civilized manner and says the death penalty should be reserved for crimes that result in death. He thinks non criems that don't result in death should be included.

Narrowing the scope of Roe v Wade in tragic pregnancies. Keeps using right wing talking points about women consulting pastors about an abortion.  

Walking back his NAFTA commitment to opt out as a way to get enforceable labor and environmental standards.


by debcoop on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:54:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Narrowing Roe (none / 0)

I would suggest that you may simply not have been listening very well to Obama earlier if you think most of these represent reversals.  Lets take them one by one:

As to the DC gun ban, Obama has long been on record as saying that the Second Amendment is an individual right, but that it is subject to reasonable restrictions.  In Heller, the Court recognized an individual right, but only struck down the most restrictive aspects of the District's gun ban.  Ultimately, I think Obama's view will prevail, but we don't know what types of regulations will be held to be constitutional right now.  Either way, I think Obama's position is pretty damn consistent.  

I agree with you that Obama is wrong on the Death penalty, but that also does not represent a change.  He has long said that he supported it in limited circumstances, for the most terrible crimes.  Saying that child rape meets that definition does not strike me as a flip-flop, even though I am personally against the death penalty in all instances.  

The late-term abortion issue is a contrived talking point.  Women don't get late-term abortions because of mental distress.  It's a made-up wedge issue.  There are only two clinics in the entire country that perform such procedures, which are extraordinarily rare.  Both clinics require more than mental distress to perform the procedure.  So this is simply a non-issue.  The only error Obama made was talking about it at all.

NAFTA is what it is.  OBama has been cautiously critical of the agreement, but remains generally supportive of free trade.  Just like essentially every other Democrat on the national stage.  I don't see a substantive shift on this issue, although I concede the emphasis of his rhetoric changed after the Ohio primary.  


by HSTruman on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:20:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Narrowing Roe (none / 0)

Yes, the late term abortion issue is contrived.  But it's hardly a non issue when Obama validates right-wing talking points.  The correct response -- a change we could believe in -- would have been to point out the truth about the rarity, tragic circumstances, etc., and refuse to be a mouthpiece for the forced birth movement.  He decided it was easier to throw women under the bus.

***A


by adrienne4dean on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:37:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Narrowing Roe (none / 0)

So he threw women under the bus by validating a "problem" that you concede doesn't affect realy people?  


by HSTruman on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:17:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Narrowing Roe (none / 0)

Yeah, yeah,

Nothing to see here.  Move along now, Obama's just as Progressive as he's promised us he would be...


by dembluestates on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:35:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Narrowing Roe (2.00 / 1)

I must have missed the substance in your comment.  Want to try again?  If so, perhaps you could explain to me how Obama betrayed progressive values by criticizing abortions that don't happen in the real world...


by HSTruman on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:37:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You are just wrong (none / 0)

Dr George Tiller's does not require a danger to the mother's physical health....Go to his website...he specifically cites the largest cause of late term abortions which are

Fetal anomalities. like anencephaly .AND MOST OF THEM DO NOT THREATEN THE MOTHER'S PHYSICAL HEALTH.  They very much fall under the penumbra of mental health....or what is laid out in Doe v Bolton, the companion case to Roe....So yes indeed mental health is the exact reason the Dr. Tiller performs such abortions

Doe says  "all factors--physical, emotional, psychological, familial, and the woman's age--relevant to the well-being of the patient. All these factors may relate to health...."  

Those words are the exact words in the Freedom of Choice Act.  Obama is one of the sponsors of that bill to codify Roe and Doe.  His position certainly is in total contravention of those words and that standard.

Now I have been on the board of a prochoice organization for almost 2 decades...so on that matter I speak from decades of experience and knowleldge.

Read this diary on why women get late term abortions...and this lawyer's commentary which let's you see that he just contravened Roe.

http://blogs.abcnews.com/...
http://blogs.abcnews.com/...
http://blogs.abcnews.com/...

And of course annrose's beautiful diary that tells you the women who would be harmed if mental distress was no longer allowed and/or you had to have a mental disease to get an abortion for an anencephalic fetus ( no brain, certain death after birth)

http://www.dailykos.com/...

Now you are saying the death penalty is not a flip flop bbecasue well he's always held to what I think is a barbaric standard....well that ain't progressive.  

These may have always been clear or not...they were to me...it's why I didn't support him...I thought him capable of all the things he's done.

But lots of his supporters sure thought he was a progressive. Seems I was right and they were wrong


by debcoop on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 08:49:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You are just wrong (none / 0)

Abortion -- the case law you cite is rather clearly not controlling given the Court's decision to uphold the "partial-birth" abortion ban that Congress passed.  Puting that aside, however, I would note that Obama was not lumping fetal abnormalities into the "mental health" category, as you did, which I think is inappropriate.  I have little doubt that he would support the right to a late-term abortion under those scenerios.  Finally, as a political matter I would prefer not to fight over the issue of Abortion on conservative turf, which late-term abortions clearly is.  Given that the number of late term abortions performed annually for purely "mental health" reasons is tiny, I think it's ridiculous to make this a central issue.  

Death Penalty -- I think he's wrong, but unless I'm mistaken his views on the Death Penalty remain far more liberal than, for example, Senators Clinton and Edwards, and certainly Bill Clinton.  In point of fact, Obama's view on the death penalty is more liberal, I believe, than any President that we've elected in recent memory.  

As to your general claim that he's not progressive, that's just silly unless your position is that there are no progressive democrats in 2008.  His policy views looking forward, from health care, to taxes, to the housing crisis, to foreign policy are almost exactly the same as Senator Clinton's and Senator Edwards.  


by HSTruman on Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 10:00:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

Well, rather than quibble about individual issues (where I assure you I've heard all the arguments from both sides many times) I'll just say that the combined impact of all these various stories over the last couple weeks has sure felt like a calculated rollout of the "HEY, I'M IN GE MODE NOW" Obama v2.0.  It's not just the position you take on the issues, but the decision about which issues you're going to talk about.

Do I think Obama has substantively moved to the right on, say, abortion or Iraq?  Not really.  Do I think he was trying to create the impression of being more moderate on those issues?  Pretty much.  Do I think it was clumsily handled, particularly in the way all these issues come up at the same time like a politician trying hard to reinvent himself?  Heck yeah.  Am I asking rhetorical questions of myself just like Donald Rumsfeld?  Sigh, I suppose so.

Look at it this way.  All the clarifications and W.O.R.M. moments - the stuff that enables you to argue "see, he never changed his position at all" - only happen because someone on the left squawked and let Obama know his trial balloon wouldn't float.  I think you can basically never go wrong by remaining issue-based.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:54:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 1)

In terms of perception, I take your point.  He could have handled things better.  But I tend to disagree that the reason Obama failed to lurch "further" to the right is because the left prevented him from doing so.  

Obama's a careful guy, and he's certainly not a bomb thrower, but I firmly believe that he has a core set of beliefs that he's not going to sacrifice.  I can't prove that, of course, but I suppose this just gets back to the debate you and I often had during the primary.  If one was always skeptical of Obama, like you have been, I understand your reaction.  I just see it differently.


by HSTruman on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:16:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I agree with so much of what you say right up to the last few dots and then...  not so much.  It's like almost having a sneeze, very disconcerting.  'Clumsily handled?'  Really?  From who's point of view, a candidate seeking to build a landslide coalition or the ideologically polemic left?  It's a matter of degree and perception, to be sure, but heck, this guy seems to really know what he's doing in this respect and is hardly swerving all over the road.  He even signalled the lane change a while back.

In any case, I still agree with most of what you say...  Everything but the conclusions, I guess!


by Shaun Appleby on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 09:03:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

There is a subset of people for whom anything that comes out of the Obama campaign is by definition a strategic masterstroke.  My comment was not really intended for them.

The rapid-fire effort to reach out to the center was clumsy in that it alienated the left while appearing completely inauthentic to anyone within the target audience.  As a result, the news cycle has been dominated by "Obama explains why he actually hasn't changed his position" stories.  This was poorly executed.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 03:10:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

Well, if it didn't work for you than it failed somehow.  Frankly I think a Democrat is currently going to have the labour of Sisyphus trying to get a sane message through the prism of the media, never mind beat back the Republican spin.  I number myself among those who didn't dispute that our mischievous media would turn against the Democratic nominee about half a day after the primary ended.

Mind you, it's sometimes hard to see a really good strategic master stroke when it's actually happening before one's eyes.  That's where the historians and sculptors come in.


by Shaun Appleby on Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 03:43:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I'm not saying it shouldn't be questioned - I'm just saying it's useless to question it with top-line national tracking numbers as the evidence.


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:41:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No you should question based on principles (none / 0)

Ones we have always endorsed.  And the ideas which blogs touted that by acting, talking and doing like progressive Democrats you actually bring the public with us and make the Democratic brand mean something positive in their minds.


by debcoop on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:58:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No you should question based on principles (none / 0)

You're not following. Bowers argued that Obama's recent "centrism" can be proven electorally effective with topline tracking polls. I'm arguing that there's no way that can be proven - and in fact I could make just as credible an argument in the other direction with the same numbers.


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:03:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I did get it (none / 0)

But I decided to ignore it to make a different rhetorical point I thought needed to be made.

We used to know it in our marrow.....now????


by debcoop on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 09:01:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I understand what you're saying there, Josh, but I do think it's a useful place to start.  I think if someone wants to advance the theory that notwithstanding the tracking polls, Obama is actually helping himself in red state X, or with soccer moms or whoever, the burden sort of falls upon them to come up with some evidence.

Otherwise, you're left in an entirely faith-based place where all you can say is "hey, the Obama campaign must have some super-secret demographic they're targeting with this move to the center, let's not question it!"  I feel that if someone wants to tell me as a liberal to suck it up because our candidate is doing what it takes to win, they have to at least show me some evidence that what they're doing is actually leading towards winning.  I hope that makes sense.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:01:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

Obama has been advertising in these states, so obviously his "shift" to the "middle" isn't the only variable at play here, but there is evidence-as Josh suggested-that Obama is making gains in Red States.  

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/politicalins ider/2008/07/obama-making-gains-in-red-s tat.html

To be clear, I have no idea if this is at all related to Obama's "shifts," and indeed would argue that he hasn't changed position at all, but this does seem like the kind of data we should be looking at, rather than national tracking polls.


by HSTruman on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:19:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I would be skeptical about drawing that link simply because, as you know, every state is more or less purple.  If Obama extends some random olive branch to the right today, it's not like you would expect to see him pick up several percentage points in the states that are 60-40 R and nothing at all in the states that are 60-40 D.  You'd probably have to look a lot closer than that.

Separately, whether Obama has shifted is not nearly as relevant as whether people perceive him as having shifted.  I mean, you can argue all day that Obama didn't technically break his public financing pledge, but most people are simply not going to buy the legalistic argument.  Which is not to bring up the argument again, but simply to point out that the legalities make no difference in the political arena.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:23:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

National tracking polls suffer from the same defects, which I think was Josh's point.  Obviously, I agree with you that we can't isolate Obama's perceived shifts as either a net positive or net negative, but that's sort of the point.  

Just to beat a dead horse, the public financing "change" really is a load of horse sh$t.  McCain has been fundraising at individual events where folks submitted 10k, which was then diverted to his campaign, the RNC, and state parties in order to avoid individual limits.  Given that, and the resulting huge RNC cash advantage, I don't think it was disingenuous at all for Obama to back out of his past pledge to pursue an agreement with McCain.  

Ok, the horse is really dead.  I'll stop.


by HSTruman on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:31:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I agree with you - I think the strategy should be questioned. I don't think it should be questioned with a national tracking poll.


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:24:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The Time For That Is NOT DURING the Election! (none / 0)

It's BEFORE and AFTER the election!

There will be plenty of time to attack President Obama when it becomes clear that he's channeling Richard Nixon's Vietnam policy ("Vietnamization" -- "Iraqization"): draw down the troop levels and rely more on air-power, try and prop up the Vietnamese-Iraqi troops with hordes of American advisors, even bigger hordes of "experts" from the treasury department, department of agriculture programs, health and human services, engineers, builders, etc.

The whole sordid program has been TRIED BEFORE! The only problem is that the Iraqi people DON'T WANT 300,000-400,000 Americans permanently wandering all over Iraq "advising" and "helping" and generally deciding what Iraqis should do and taking over their oil fields. They want to run their own country and for us to get out.

All Americans - including the advisers. They hate and fear us, and don't trust us an inch. This isn't going to have a pretty Kumbuyah ending.

And that's the very last thing President Obama (or McCain) will be willing to do, withdraw completely, including the oil companies, civilian contractors and other hangers-on.

So, there's plenty of room to fight Obama tooth and nail once he's elected. We don't need to do it now and help John McCain!


by Cugel on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:11:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The Time For That Is NOT DURING the Election! (2.00 / 1)

While I've seen the SYFPH argument in just about all its incarnations by now, I stand by my position that DURING the election is the only time that you, the voter, have real leverage.  After the election you just end up writing sternly-worded letters like Pat Leahy.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:48:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

Where does actually getting elected fit into your natural philosophy of politics?  Or is grumbling your way of indicating that our issues seem to fail the electoral test?  I am not disagreeing with you, incidentally, but feel it is best to achieve executive power and a legislative majority with a clear mandate for things like withdrawal from Iraq and 'universal' health care than to attempt to fight against the tide in Congress during an election campaign on compelling but fractious issues like FISA.  Plenty of time to do it quietly later, as Obama seems to be hinting.


by Shaun Appleby on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:38:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

Getting elected is great.  Getting elected with a mandate for doing the right things is much greater.  I literally spluttered at your suggestion that Obama's election would result in a mandate for universal health care.

Look, I've always been in the camp which says that message and contrast are important, and that if you want a mandate for certain things, you have to make the election about those things ahead of time.  Others are of the belief that as long as you win the election, progressive stuff just sorta starts happening.  I'm going to stick to my guns until proven wrong.

I believe in pushing our politicians to campaign on our issues because when they win, I want a mandate to deal with those issues.  I want the Republicans who oppose our agenda to think "uh oh, if I vote against this thing that Obama won on, it's going to be my head on the chopping block next election."  You won't make them sweat those bullets if you win election by campaigning on school uniforms instead.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:47:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 1)

I actually agree with you, quite emphatically, about the importance of a mandate.  And I would have thought that 'universal' health care (notice the quotes) was squarely in Obama's, spluttering notwithstanding (hope you weren't eating lunch).  Without re-fighting the primary why wouldn't it be?  Notice McCain has barely touched this issue, either, 'cuz it isn't a winner for him, largely, I m ight add, because Obama's proposal is not explicitly mandatory (here we go).

The war in Iraq clearly another.  We tend to agree, methinks, in broad terms.  I just don't see FISA, at this time with little chance of passing, or the DC handgun laws as the right ground to choose, especially at this stage in the election cycle.


He who defends everything, defends nothing.

Sun Tzu


by Shaun Appleby on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 06:54:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 1)

You want to know the reason for Obama's "tack to the center"?  Check out McCain's newest ad:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpyOSLZw8 qo

Notice McCain's characterization of the 60's as "a time of uncertainty, hope, and change".  He is doing his best to paint Obama as a dangerous reactionary, and the netroots as "free-love hippies" reincarnate.  If that message is able to gain traction, then the William Ayers stuff will become that much more lethal.

It's ok to be upset with Obama's move to the center for the general, but at least look at it in a tactical way.  I'll be way more upset in November if McCain is able to hippie-bait his way to the Presidency than I am in July by rhetorical shifts to the center by Obama.


by hello world on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:37:01 PM EST

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 1)

So when Obama tiangulates, its OK, but when Clinton did it, it was evil. The hypocrisy keeps growing everyday.


by bsavage on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:43:40 PM EST

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 1)

Who said it was OK?


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:53:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

There are many more things wrong with the (none / 0)

bankruptcy bill that need to fixed.  Hell it should just go the way of the dodo.

It is still a killer not just for veterans or seniors...it harms lots of people with medical problems. It still protects the credit card companies over things like child support.  They still come right after taxes in terms of priority....All of it is wrong...it is exacerbating the housing crisis.  It was a rotten bill at its fundament.

This is actually instructive not of the audacity of his progressive ambition...but the paucity of it.


by debcoop on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:45:01 PM EST

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 3)

I don't buy this notion that Obama has been intentionally tacking to the center.  Think he's always been just left of center.  During the primaries, Clinton was the clear favorite of rank-and-file Dems (especially those of a certain age).  Obama owes his victory to the fact that Dem-leaning indies participated (and it's the Clinton folk who now have the big problem with him, though 2/3rds seem to have come on board).

Here's the current situation in a nutshell.  Obama seems to be struggling to win the last 15-20% of Dems (those who voted for Clinton during the primaries).  This isn't a big mystery to me, and one can attribute this to two reasons: some fraction haven't gotten over the primaries (were very pro-Clinton); some fraction, frankly, can't get past the race issue (were very anti-Obama, Clinton just happened to be the beneficiary).  These numbers won't change until after the convention, if they budge at all (it's possible we've reached the point of eqiuilibrium).

And then there are the indies.  What about those who lean Dem?  Obama has them already.  What about those who are undecided?  You're not going to convince me that Obama's tack to the center has hurt him among this group.  If there is strategy going on, Obama is setting himself up so he can win this group of undecided indies (and pull off the sort of victory Reagan did in 1980, where indies jumped to him during the last weeks of the campaign).

I don't think that's what is going on, though.  This tack to the center is really about the GOP ushering out it's "flip flop" meme.  They're hoping they can provoke undecided voters into voting for McCain by building the case that Obama is wishy washy and can't be trusted.  While the swift boat stuff got all the attention back in 2004, it was really the "I voted for it before I voted against it" stuff which caused Bush to win indies by a narrow margin back in 2004.

Think the GOP is misreading the electorate.  For this strategy to work, indies who are undecided need to believe that McCain is a rigid leader of principle (and they don't, McCain has himself flip-flopped too many times, and the GOP brand is now tarnished).  But hey, can't stop them from trying.

At the end of the day, though, think the Dems stand a much better chance of winning over these undecided indies if they think Obama is at the political center than if they believe he's the most liberal member of the senate (so in that sense it's all good, but we probably won't see the benefits from this for another two months).  Unless, that is, these voters conclude that Obama is wishy washy (not letting that perception form should be job one for the Dems right now).  


by IncognitoErgoSum on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:48:21 PM EST

Yes (2.00 / 1)

Obama is setting himself up so he can win [undecided independents].

Imagine that, an electable Democrat.  Such a simple strategy and yet so elegant.


by Shaun Appleby on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:42:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The only area where he hasn't (2.00 / 1)

been 100% consistent is the FISA thing, and even then there has been the intervening development of new legislation.

What has changed is that, now that the primary is over, the media is fully focused on trying to portray St. John as a maverick and Obama as a strange other, a radical liberal out of touch with Chris Matthews' 'normal white people.'  

So, you get questions about whether the death penalty is grossly disproportionate to the crime of child rape.  It's the same crap the media has been pulling for decades.


by Geekesque on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 03:54:47 PM EST

Re: The only area where he hasn't (none / 0)

"been 100% consistent is the FISA thing,"

Yes he has. Please see my comment below.


by Beren on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:26:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The only area where he hasn't (none / 0)

Can you point to something that indicates Obama will vote against the final FISA package even if it contains immunity?


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:28:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The only area where he hasn't (none / 0)

Can you quote Obama ever saying he would vote against a FISA bill that came to the floor and contained telecom immunity?

My quotes below show that he didn't. He said in both instances that he didn't like the telecom immunity provision and would support eliminating it -- but not that he would vote against the entire bill.

People are mindlessly saying that Obama has changed his position(s) when in fact he hasn't.

It's one thing to disagree with his positions, and quite another to mischaracterize them.


by Beren on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:41:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The only area where he hasn't (none / 0)

Yes:

http://tinyurl.com/5bghgb

October 24, 2007

The Obama campaign has just sent over the following statement from spokesman Bill Burton:

"To be clear: Barack will support a filibuster of any bill that includes retroactive immunity for telecommunications companies."


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:50:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

Where's the half which shows Obama saying that he won't support a filibuster now?

To my knowledge no such attempt has even occured. So you shoulf wait until you have Obama on record saying he will vote for cloture before condemning him.


by Beren on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:01:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

Last time, Obama said he'd filibuster any bill with immunity. This time, he said he supporters the "compromise" but will "work" to remove immunity. It's very clear he'll support the final package even with immunity.


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:06:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

He has said he will vote for the final bill. But I asked you for a quote where said he won't support a filibuster of it first.

And the reason I ask for that quote is because even in saying he would support a filibuster last year, he DID NOT say he would vote against the bill.

I expect someone who is a front page diarist on political blog to understand the way politicians speak and what they mean.

If you're going to accuse Obama of triangulation or position shift your evidence needs to be specific and accurate.


by Beren on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:12:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

Come on. You're saying that if a Senator promises outright to filibuster a bill he still leaves wiggle room to actually vote for it? Beyond parsing. Let's see what happens tomorrow. If he winds up voting against a package with immunity, I'll admit I was wrong on the front page.


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:22:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

"Come on. You're saying that if a Senator promises outright to filibuster a bill he still leaves wiggle room to actually vote for it?"

Yes, if the filibuster fails. Are you also one of those who criticize Obama for his "present" votes in the IL legislature (along with the GOP)?

The bottom line is, you don't have the quote of Obama to back up whatever your charge is and are now imagining your argument.

You need to think deeper about the reality of legislative politics if you're going to be a serious political commentator rather than a mere polemisist who repeats what you hear on TV.


by Beren on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:44:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

So you think Obama will vote against the final package tomorrow if it has immunity?


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:54:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

Wow, this has been an amusing exchange.  "He only said he would filibuster the bill, not that he would vote against it, so there's no flip-flop!"  Points for creativity, if nothing else.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:56:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Points for creativity, if nothing else. (none / 0)

Points for naivete, if nothing else.


by Beren on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 07:59:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Points for creativity, if nothing else. (none / 0)

The ability to argue an absurd position like "pledging to filibuster a bill doesn't mean you will oppose it" is a sign not of sophistication or superior understanding, but of pedantry.

By the way, a filibuster was attempted on June 25.  Obama was not present.  Not sure why you fail to acknowledge this.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 03:26:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Points for creativity, if nothing else. (none / 0)

You obviously don't understand Senate procedures. It is completely plausible to vote to not shut down debate (against cloture) and then, if it fails, vote for the bill.

It is also consistent with Obama's past statements. I don't like the end result one bit and am pissed at ALL of the Democrats who have negotiated and supported the bill, but it's simply wrong to misconstrue his words and single him out for criticism.


by Beren on Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 11:58:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

"So you think Obama will vote against the final package tomorrow if it has immunity?"

Of course I don't think that. He's said he will vote for it.

But that doesn't mean he will vote to shut down debate if a filibuster is attempted by other Democrats.

How can a front page diarist on a political blog not understand such a fundamental fact of Senatorial politics and procedure?


by Beren on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 07:57:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

I'm arguing that it's clear that he'll switch his position from October and vote for a package with immunity. If you want to cling to the spin, be my guest.


by Josh Orton on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 08:27:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You've only got half of a contradiction there. (none / 0)

You're the one spinning.

I hate the FISA bill too and am disgusted with the Democracts who negotiated and passed it in the House, and will pass it in the Senate. But I don't need to mischaracterize in order to be against it. That just cheapens the argument.


by Beren on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 08:35:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

There is this: (none / 0)

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsm emo.com/2007/10/obama_camp_says_it_hell_ support_filibuster_of_any_bill_containin g_telecom_immunity.php


by Geekesque on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:51:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Too many people who should know better... (2.00 / 3)

...are simply repeating talking points being issued to the press in McBush's daily conference calls.

Obama's recent triangulation

Really? Actually, Obama's positions have remained uncharacteristically consistent -- for a politician.

Obama on faith-based initiatives, July 2008: "I still believe it's a good idea to have a partnership between the White House and grass-roots groups, both faith-based and secular."

"I believe deeply in the separation of church and state, but I don't believe this partnership will endanger that idea - so long as we follow a few basic principles. First, if you get a federal grant, you can't use that grant money to proselytize to the people you help and you can't discriminate against them - or against the people you hire - on the basis of their religion. Second, federal dollars that go directly to churches, temples and mosques can only be used on secular programs. And we'll also ensure that taxpayer dollars only go to those programs that actually work."

http://www.truthout.org/article/obama-re  name-bushs-faith-office

Obama on faith-based initiatives, January 2008: "No, I don't think so, because I am much more concerned with maintaining the line between church and state. And I believe that, for the most part, we can facilitate the excellent work that's done by faith-based institutions when it comes to substance abuse treatment or prison ministries.... I think much of this work can be done in a way that doesn't conflict with church and state. I think George Bush is less concerned about that."

"My general criteria is that if a congregation or a church or synagogue or a mosque or a temple wants to provide social services and use government funds, then they should be able to structure it in a way that all people are able to access those services and that we're not seeing government dollars used to proselytize."

http://www.beliefnet.com/story/228/story  _22894_1.html

Obama on guns, June 2008: "Justice Scalia himself acknowledged that this right is not absolute and subject to reasonable regulations enacted by local communities to keep their streets safe. Today's ruling, the first clear statement on this issue in 127 years, will provide much-needed guidance to local jurisdictions across the country."

Obama said if elected president, he would uphold the rights of gun owners, but he said: "I know that what works in Chicago may not work in Cheyenne. We can work together to enact common-sense laws, like closing the gun show loophole and improving our background check system, so that guns do not fall into the hands of terrorists or criminals."

http://cbs2chicago.com/politics/mccain.h  andgun.ban.2.757688.html

Obama on guns, February 2008: "Because I think we have two conflicting traditions in this country. I think it's important for us to recognize that we've got a tradition of handgun ownership and gun ownership generally. And a lot of law-abiding citizens use it for hunting, for sportsmanship, and for protecting their families. We also have a violence on the streets that is the result of illegal handgun usage. And so I think there is nothing wrong with a community saying we are going to take those illegal handguns off the streets. And cracking down on the various loopholes that exist in terms of background checks for children, the mentally ill. We can have reasonable, thoughtful gun control measure that I think respect the Second Amendment and people's traditions."

http://www.ontheissues.org/domestic/Bara  ck_Obama_Gun_Control.htm

Obama on abortion, July 2008: "I have repeatedly said that I think it's entirely appropriate for states to restrict or even prohibit late-term abortions as long as there is a strict, well-defined exception for the health of the mother. Now, I don't think that "mental distress" qualifies as the health of the mother. I think it has to be a serious physical issue that arises in pregnancy, where there are real, significant problems to the mother carrying that child to term. Otherwise, as long as there is such a medical exception in place, I think we can prohibit late-term abortions."

http://www.relevantmagazine.com/life_art  icle.php?id=7591

Obama on abortion, April 2008: "On an issue like partial birth abortion, I strongly believe that the state can properly restrict late-term abortions. I have said so repeatedly. All I've said is we should have a provision to protect the health of the mother, and many of the bills that came before me didn't have that."

http://www.ontheissues.org/Social/Barack  _Obama_Abortion.htm

Obama on Iraq, July 2008: "My first day in office I will bring the Joint Chiefs of Staff in, and I will give them a new mission, and that is to end this war -- responsibly, deliberately, but decisively. And I have seen no information that contradicts the notion that we can bring our troops out safely at a pace of one to two brigades a month, and again, that pace translates into having our combat troops out in 16 months' time."

http://www.endpoliticsasusual.com/2008/0  7/video-obama-on-iraq-it-needs-to- come-t  o.html

Obama on Iraq, November 2007: "You know, John on this one I actually think has been either misinformed or isn't being entirely straight. I am committed to getting all of our combat troops out by 16 months. So he can say first year. I've said 16 months based on what the generals and commanders tell me can be done. And we are going to have still, I believe, the need to have some forces that are available to go after terrorist bases should they emerge in Iraq. Now if he doesn't think that's an important function, then I'm happy to have that debate. But be perfectly clear, I will bring this war to an end as quickly as can be done with the safety of the troops in mind, and my belief is that we can get that done in 16 months."

http://www.nationaljournal.com/onair/tra  nscripts/071108_obama_barack.php

Obama on NAFTA, June 2008: "Obama says he believes in "opening up a dialogue" with trading partners Canada and Mexico "and figuring to how we can make this work for all people."

Obama spokesman Bill Burton said that Obama-as the candidate noted in Fortune's interview-has not changed his core position on NAFTA, and that he has always said he would talk to the leaders of Canada and Mexico in an effort to include enforceable labor and environmental standards in the pact."

http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/18/magazine  s/fortune/easton_obama.fortune/

Obama on NAFTA, September 2007: "Obama was also pressed on trade deals like the North American Free Trade Agreement. He said he disagrees with more liberal rivals such as Rep. Dennis Kucinich, who want to scrap the deal. A better approach is tougher enforcement of labor and environmental standards, he said."

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/06/18  ifortunei-article-selecti_n_10788 1.html  ?view=print

Obama on the death penalty, June 2008:"I have said repeatedly that I think that the death penalty should be applied in very narrow circumstances for the most egregious of crimes," Mr. Obama said at a news conference. "I think that the rape of a small child, 6 or 8 years old, is a heinous crime and if a state makes a decision that under narrow, limited, well-defined circumstances the death penalty is at least potentially applicable, that that does not violate our Constitution."

http://www.nysun.com/national/obama-crit  icizes-supreme-court-death-penalty /80761  

Obama on the death penalty, October 2006: "While the evidence tells me that the death penalty does little to deter crime, I believe there are some crimes--mass murder, the rape and murder of a child--so heinous that the community is justified in expressing the full measure of its outrage by meting out the ultimate punishment."

http://www.ontheissues.org/Domestic/Bara  ck_Obama_Crime.htm

Obama on telecom immunity July 3, 2008: I know that the FISA bill that passed the House is far from perfect. I wouldn't have drafted the legislation like this, and it does not resolve all of the concerns that we have about President Bush's abuse of executive power. It grants retroactive immunity to telecommunications companies that may have violated the law by cooperating with the Bush Administration's program of warrantless wiretapping. This potentially weakens the deterrent effect of the law and removes an important tool for the American people to demand accountability for past abuses.

That's why I support striking Title II from the bill, and will work with Chris Dodd, Jeff Bingaman and others in an effort to remove this provision in the Senate.

Obama on telecom immunity Jan 28, 2008: No one should get a free pass to violate the basic civil liberties of the American people - not the President of the United States, and not the telecommunications companies that fell in line with his warrantless surveillance program. We have to make clear the lines that cannot be crossed.

That is why I am co-sponsoring Senator Dodd's amendment to remove the immunity provision.

Please stop spinning for the Republicans.


by Beren on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:22:24 PM EST

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I don't see the move to the center?  Edwards was the most left leaning of the candidates.  Obama was always to the center of Edwards and Clinton with the exception of his 2002 Iraq position.  


by bakho on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:32:23 PM EST

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I don't see how you can argue that Obama is more centrist than Senator Clinton.  The only issue where there was any real day light between them was on health care mandates.  I suppose that places her slightly to his left on that issue, but that's really about it.  

Edwards ran to Obama's left, but his Senate record was to the right of both Clinton and Obama.  


by HSTruman on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 04:36:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 1)

Obama didn't promise to "obliterate".  That's slightly to the right of Obama's position on diplomatic engagement with our enemies.


by hello world on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:35:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I am pretty sure that Obama did not promise to engage diplomatically with Iran if they nuked Israel.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:58:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 2)


Strategy:
Stake out the center
Own the center
Move the center to the left
by Mae Scott on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 05:36:48 PM EST

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I wish I could rec this comment 100 times.  :)


by hello world on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 07:39:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

What a disheartening discussion. First, let's call Obama what he is: OUR CANDIDATE. And let's look at history: There has never, ever been a pure progressive candidate elected to the presidency. It is imperative for all Democrats, independents and (that rare breed) thinking Republicans to realize that Obama is unelectable unless he can establish and preserve loyalty far beyond the progressive base.

Second, this point has been touched on above, but I have to underline it. This is NOT a level playing field. The media are treating the two candidates very differently. Obama uses slightly different words to reaffirm his position on withdrawal from Iraq, and, following the McCain campaign's propaganda, the media shout to the heavens that Obama has changed his position. (A little history here: During the early debates, Obama pledged to have the troops out by the end of 2013. Since then, he made his commitment more radical by imposing on himself a 16-month timeline for withdrawal, more than doubling the speed of withdrawal. His recent remarks simply recommitted him to the 16 month plan.)

In contrast, McCain takes mutually exclusive positions on almost every issue of importance to the American people and the media don't even raise an eyelid, much less give the American people the basic information about the flip-flops.

Third, look at the positions that Obama has taken in recent weeks that have stirred up all the fuss. (I will exclude FISA, which I find understandable, but still a real disappointment.)

GUNS: Individuals have a right to arms, but that right is subject to reasonable restriction by the state. This is a moderate position. The extreme position is that individuals can have no right to bear arms and that the state can ban weapons and take away those that citizens already have.

ABORTION: Obama's statement was limited to late-term intact dilation and extraction. The fact is that it is a gruesome procedure. (Many years ago I worked in surgery and assisted on many abortions.) It is a procedure that should only be used in extreme circumstances.

There are several problems with his comments. First, he used the rights term, "partial birth abortion." It has been very successful propaganda. However, if he had used any other term, most Americans wouldn't know what he was talking about. Second, he bandied around words about mental stress when the real test for a mental health exception is very, very strict already.

The problem with much of the abortion debate is that pro-choice folks have allowed themselves to be radicalized by the right-wing. The Right has been very successful in taking away abortion rights one little bite at a time, both in Congress and in state legislatures. That success has had the unfortunate effect of making pro-choice advocates defend the most extreme sorts of abortion procedures with the same ferocity as the rights that the great majority of Americans agree should be preserved. The net result is that any Democratic politician that wants to compete nationally has to put some distance between himself or herself and the most extreme pro-choice positions if that politician is to gain office and protect all the essentials of the right to choose.

DEATH PENALTY: There are dozens of different places to draw one's personal line in the sand on the death penalty. For myself, I find it hard to totally condemn the taking of the life of the most hardened criminal who has taken a life or lives in the most horrible circumstances. I still oppose the penalty because it has little deterrent effect, is applied differently to different defendants, and can be mistakenly applied. I also find it repugnant that the state is in the business of killing people.

I also think that the line is defensible when the rule is that only crimes in which a life is taken can be capital crimes.

However, I also see that imposing the death penalty for felony murder (for example, the driver a the car in a hold-up who never intended personal harm and was never present when the victim was harmed) may seem more extreme to some people than imposing it when the most extreme non-capital crime is committed (such as rape and mutilation of 5 or 6 year old child).

Unless you are an absolutist on this issue, then you most realize that as long as the death penalty exists, almost every category of offense and each individual case can force decisions that make both proponents and opponents miserable.

What Obama did was not to advocate for the death penalty in any particular case, but to recognize that even some crimes that don't involve the final taking of a life can still be so heinous that the death penalty MIGHT be applied if the circumstances are awful enough.

On each of these issues, our candidate has taken stands that are still far to the left of the majority position of the American people. Further, on most of these issues, he is right where he said he was all along. If elected, he will demonstrate to the American people that these and other progressive positions are workable and for the good of the country. By success and example, he will be able to help the country become more progressive.


by anoregonreader on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 07:39:27 PM EST

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I think it is a tad excessive to suggest that Obama is "far to the left of the majority position of the American people" on gun control or, certainly, the death penalty.

Supporting the death penalty for child rape is "far to the left of the American people"?  Where exactly do you think the American people are, chopping off a hand for shoplifting?


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 03:20:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (none / 0)

I live in a community in which, in the last year, some middle school kids, boys and girls, had gotten involved in a stupid game of slapping buttocks and sometimes groping breasts. I want to emphasize that some of the girls were very active participants, doing their own butt-slapping. The local police intervened and the prosecutor brought two boys (14 and 15 years old, I believe) on felony charges that would have imprisoned them for several years and left them branded for life as sex offenders. The majority of the community was outraged at the prosecutorial excess, but a very substantial part of the community was urging him on, writing letters to the newspapers that anyone who touched their girl's butt, even in a game, even if a child himself, was a child molester and should do prison time.

No think about a horrible child abuse case. The monster fully penetrates a five year old child, maiming the child for life. He then mutilates the child with knives and acid. The child is left crippled, disfigured and emotionally crippled for life. But the child doesn't quite die.

You try running that scenario past a cross section of your community. I think you will be very surprised to find how large a percentage immediately says "Let him dangle."


by anoregonreader on Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 03:39:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not So Fast (2.00 / 1)

I might have this wrong but I never thought of Obama as a "Liberal", but as a bridge between red and blue, conservative and liberal (small l).

I like the idea of a President who doesn't "cling" (maybe this word will get some upset) to an ideology, but someone who makes decisions based on the situation as it is in the moment.

As far as FISA, yes, I agree, he wants to go the middle ground now and prevent McCain from slam him as out of touch. He has always said, for the last several years that he wants to get the troops out of Iraq, but he will also listen to the generals on the ground as far as speeding things up or slowing the exit down a bit. Obama, unlike McCain said from the beginning that the war was wrong, but he has always said (pardon the misquote) "We have to be as careful going out as we were careless going in."

I am an Jewish atheist, but for over a year, I knew Obama was in favor of his favorable opinion of grants to religious organizations, as long as it doesn't involve proselytizing. I know, in NYC where I live, there is a Jewish Community Board that hires non-jews of every race, gender, religion and sexual orientation and never tries to convert people to Judaism. Since religious people like serving others, why not give them governments funds and use them - provided there are no strings attached.

Also, I have always known about Obama that he wants to end the constant ideological struggle between the pro life movement and the pro choice movement. As a community organizer he wants to be his own "rainbow coalition" and bridge the hugh chasm between the two groups. Obama says he is for preventing unwanted pregnancies. If anti-abortionists want "chastity" programs, he is OK with that. If they don't like third trimester abortions for "mental distress" he will say he is going along with that - even though he knows nobody gets a third trimester abortion for "mental distress". However, he is for all programs that prevent unwanted pregnancies, including sex education and condoms in schools. He also is for a woman's right to choose. Again to misquote Obama, "I don't want my own two girls to suffer for a mistake."

Again, I don't see Obama as very liberal, liberal, in the middle, conservative or very conservative. He is a person who looks at a situation as it is and makes a decision based on the facts and what he thinks is for the greater good. He may not be right all the time, and his choices may bring on unintended consequences, but he is better than McCain, Bush, or any of the ideologues that we have had in the past.

I forgot something. Dukakis lost the election, in my opinion, in a debate when he would support the death penalty for someone who killed his wife. He gave a dry lefty ideologue answer with no emotion. If in a debate, someone asked Obama what punishment he would seek for someone who raped one of his daughters, I bet he would say, "I will kill them with my own hands".


Democrats never agree on anything, that's why they're Democrats. If they agreed with each other, they would be Republicans. - Will Rogers
by benjaminsp on Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 11:34:55 PM EST


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